Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.052560 0.059948 0.067512 0.075805 0.084609 0.093652 0.103612
2025-10-05 0.044643 0.055917 0.067992 0.081748 0.096859 0.112839 0.130909
2025-10-12 0.035521 0.048731 0.063485 0.080866 0.100496 0.121738 0.146232
2025-10-19 0.030134 0.044807 0.061791 0.082343 0.106054 0.132147 0.162656
2025-10-26 0.025349 0.040906 0.059556 0.082694 0.109900 0.140278 0.176218
2025-11-02 0.021924 0.038225 0.058405 0.083990 0.114557 0.149096 0.190344
2025-11-09 0.018517 0.035146 0.056443 0.084042 0.117532 0.155806 0.201918
2025-11-16 0.014582 0.030853 0.052580 0.081462 0.117129 0.158400 0.208595
2025-11-23 0.011361 0.027123 0.049122 0.079119 0.116791 0.160891 0.214997
2025-11-30 0.009756 0.025602 0.048463 0.080204 0.120528 0.168106 0.226817
2025-12-07 0.008527 0.024508 0.048281 0.081820 0.124858 0.175978 0.239367
2025-12-14 0.007747 0.024059 0.048941 0.084493 0.130469 0.185358 0.253674
2025-12-21 0.006430 0.022559 0.048119 0.085317 0.133956 0.192442 0.265608
2025-12-28 0.006674 0.024007 0.051680 0.092098 0.145058 0.208824 0.288672
2026-01-04 0.005150 0.021794 0.049655 0.091229 0.146386 0.213327 0.297620
2026-01-11 0.004344 0.020857 0.049472 0.092815 0.150806 0.221560 0.310985
2026-01-18 0.003430 0.019463 0.048470 0.093191 0.153614 0.227784 0.321921
2026-01-25 0.002810 0.018591 0.048222 0.094572 0.157690 0.235543 0.334680
2026-02-01 0.002098 0.017243 0.047090 0.094627 0.159983 0.241061 0.344712
2026-02-08 0.001220 0.014919 0.044110 0.091879 0.158470 0.241765 0.348847
2026-02-15 0.000612 0.012876 0.041400 0.089380 0.157186 0.242679 0.353172
2026-02-22 0.000403 0.012247 0.041176 0.090537 0.160778 0.249694 0.364911
2026-03-01 0.000268 0.011845 0.041340 0.092260 0.165123 0.257652 0.377802